UK-based global risk and consulting firm Maplecroft has released its Political Risk Atlas for 2013. Among the highlights are an increased risk for violence in 20% of the countries, and Turkey elevated to extreme risk for terrorism…
Maplecroft’s Political Risk Atlas 2013 brings attention to trends in global risk, including the increased potential for political violence, “societal forced regime change,” and terrorism – with a highlight on the risk for terrorism in countries with growth economies.
The assessment includes more than 50 different risk indices ranging from rule of law and political violence to economic diversification and resource nationalism.
Among this year’s trends noted was that 20% of the countries are at increased risk for political violence. Turkey, for the first time, was cited for extreme risk for terrorism, joining 17 other countries at that highest level. Turkey is now named alongside countries with growth economies such as Nigeria, the Philippines, Colombia, Thailand, India, and Russia.
Maplecroft also focused on what it called “societal forced regime change,” noting that Arab Spring countries remained at risk as hoped-for change in economic opportunities as well as human rights have not come to fruition.
Along with Arab Spring countries, Maplecroft names Guinea Bissau, Zimbabwe, Syria, Madagascar, South Sudan, Pakistan, Yemen, Mali, Bangladesh, Kenya and Turkmenistan as countries most at risk for societal forced regime change.
A snapshot of the Atlas:
Much more at Maplecroft.
Category: Think Pieces